Caravaggio vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PON
4 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEC
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 2
PER
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
CIS
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OLG
2 - 1
VIR
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
VBE
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 1
VIR
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 3
SCA
33%
23%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |