Caravaggio vs Pro Belvedere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
DAR
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACM
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 1
REN
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SAL
1 - 2
PRO
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 0
DAR
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACM
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
3 - 4
PRO
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |