Caravaggio vs Darfo Boario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEV
55%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 3
PER
30%
26%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
35%
27%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 0
VBE
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PON
1 - 1
DAR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 0
DCA
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 0
DAR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 0
REZ
36%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |