Caravaggio vs Pro Sesto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
PON
28%
26%
46%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
SON
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 0
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
LEC
15%
22%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
1 - 1
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
SER
19%
24%
57%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 1
FIO
40%
27%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 0
PRO
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |