Caravaggio vs Pro Sesto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
SER
25%
25%
51%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PON
0 - 2
CAR
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
AUR
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ACC
0 - 0
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
4 - 0
ACM
72%
19%
9%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SON
1 - 0
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 1
INV
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 1
MAP
55%
25%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |