Caravaca vs Lumbreras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
4.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
DOL
0 - 2
CAR
18%
24%
59%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 1
UCA
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ORI
0 - 2
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 2
HOR
42%
27%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lumbreras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
LUM
0 - 3
BAL
21%
28%
51%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PIN
2 - 0
LUM
79%
14%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LUM
0 - 3
JUM
13%
21%
66%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
LUM
0 - 2
DOL
34%
27%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UCA
4 - 0
LUM
75%
17%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |