Carapinheirense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
63.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAR
87%
10%
3%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
OPE
11%
20%
70%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 4
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
IDE
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -3 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 2
VST
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 0
IDE
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
FAT
78%
14%
7%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CIN
0 - 1
BEN
24%
28%
49%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |