Carapebus EC vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
76.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 0
CEC
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CEC
0 - 0
SER
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
JFC
3 - 0
CEC
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SCR
3 - 0
CEC
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 3
ANG
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -2 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
AME
1 - 3
CAM
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
AME
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
AME
3 - 1
OLA
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
OLA
1 - 1
AME
31%
28%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |