Caracas vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 0
CFC
23%
29%
48%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MET
2 - 1
CFC
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 0
TAC
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
CFC
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
6 - 2
GVA
82%
14%
4%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
TAC
3 - 0
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
POR
3 - 2
MON
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
4 - 1
POR
74%
18%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 3
MET
32%
30%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
ARA
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |