Caracas vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MET
1 - 1
CFC
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 1
MIR
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 2
ZUL
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
TRU
0 - 0
CFC
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
ZUL
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TRU
3 - 2
MON
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
DPU
1 - 1
MON
6%
12%
82%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
APC
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 1
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |