Caracas vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
CFC
3 - 0
MIR
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
CFC
20%
23%
56%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
ANZ
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 0
YAR
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 0
CFC
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
TAC
3 - 3
LAR
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAC
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
TAC
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TAC
0 - 0
ANZ
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
TAC
1 - 1
ZUL
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |