Caracas vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 0
YAR
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 0
CFC
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 0
CFC
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
CFC
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
EST
4 - 1
CFC
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ANZ
3 - 2
MIN
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 1
LAR
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TAC
0 - 0
ANZ
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ANZ
2 - 1
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
YAR
3 - 1
ANZ
22%
27%
50%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |