Venezuelan Cup . Last 16
Global 0-3
Caracas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 2
CFC
23%
24%
54%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 0
MIN
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
APC
2 - 0
CFC
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
3 - 0
MIR
82%
14%
4%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 0
ARA
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MIN
1 - 0
ARA
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
APC
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 2
LIB
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 0
ARA
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |