Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
ATL
40%
30%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
YAR
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
CAR
31%
28%
40%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ANZ
19%
27%
54%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TUC
2 - 0
POR
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
55%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ZUL
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TAC
1 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |