Carabobo vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2003 |
TRU
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIN
52%
23%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
EST
3 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
CFC
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
MON
1 - 1
MIR
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
MON
2 - 0
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
TRU
0 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |