Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 0-0
Carabobo vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
60.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
ANZ
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
APC
3 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
URE
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
HUI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
PAT
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |