Capivariano vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 0
CAP
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAP
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAP
3 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 0
OLI
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAP
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
2 - 2
USA
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
VOT
3 - 0
MAT
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MAT
2 - 2
BER
18%
24%
58%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
USA
0 - 0
MAT
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 2
USA
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |