Capivariano vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 0
PPE
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
CAP
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 1
RIO
45%
23%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAP
61%
21%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 3
COR
12%
26%
62%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 2
BOT
77%
17%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAC
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |