Paulista A3 Normal Season Round 4

Capivariano vs Barretos analysis

Capivariano Barretos
53 ELO 48
4.3% Tilt -3.4%
3688º General ELO ranking 28325º
109º Country ELO ranking 792º
ELO win probability
59.7%
Capivariano
21.9%
Draw
18.4%
Barretos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
Capivariano
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.4%
Win probability
Barretos
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Capivariano
+41%
-22%
Barretos

ELO progression

Capivariano
Barretos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Capivariano
Capivariano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2021
LIN
Linense CA
1 - 0
Capivariano
CAP
31%
25%
44%
53 49 4 0
14 Mar. 2021
BAN
Bandeirante SP
2 - 0
Capivariano
CAP
13%
20%
67%
53 34 19 0
10 Mar. 2021
CAP
Capivariano
2 - 2
São José MA
JOS
74%
16%
9%
54 39 15 -1
06 Mar. 2021
MAR
Marília
2 - 0
Capivariano
CAP
43%
24%
33%
55 53 2 -1
25 Oct. 2020
CAP
Capivariano
0 - 0
Velo Clube
VEL
46%
25%
30%
55 56 1 0

Matches

Barretos
Barretos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2021
BAR
Barretos
1 - 3
Primavera SP
PRI
55%
24%
22%
49 47 2 0
10 Mar. 2021
NOR
Noroeste
3 - 0
Barretos
BAR
54%
25%
21%
50 54 4 -1
07 Mar. 2021
BAR
Barretos
2 - 0
Penapolense
PEN
45%
24%
30%
50 49 1 0
10 Oct. 2020
BAR
Barretos
0 - 2
Marília
MAR
56%
23%
21%
51 46 5 -1
03 Oct. 2020
BER
EC São Bernardo
1 - 0
Barretos
BAR
57%
24%
20%
51 55 4 0