Capelle vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ACH
4 - 2
CAP
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SPI
3 - 0
CAP
58%
20%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAP
2 - 2
RIJ
46%
23%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ZWA
6 - 2
CAP
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAP
0 - 3
SMI
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
TER
1 - 2
SWI
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 1
DFS
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DBI
1 - 0
SWI
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 2
ACH
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 2
RIJ
34%
24%
43%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |