Capalaba vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.7%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
IPS
0 - 1
CAP
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 0
EAS
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
3 - 4
CAP
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
ALB
54%
20%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 2
CAP
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HPH
1 - 0
UNI
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
ROC
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 1
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 4
MIT
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 4
IPS
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |