Capalaba vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
79.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRI
4 - 0
CAP
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LOG
3 - 2
CAP
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
BRR
1 - 0
CAP
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 4
MOR
13%
17%
71%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 3
CAP
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
LOG
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
GRE
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
PEN
32%
22%
47%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 1
NWS
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 8 | 32 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
OLY
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |