Capalaba vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
46.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
CAP
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 1
CAP
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 1
ROC
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 2
EAS
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 3
PEN
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
LOG
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 2
WOL
34%
21%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 1
TAR
72%
16%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 2
LOG
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LOG
2 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |