Capalaba vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
WOL
6 - 1
CAP
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CAP
0 - 1
EAS
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
ROC
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
QUE
4 - 0
CAP
74%
16%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
LOG
0 - 3
ROC
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
QUE
3 - 0
LOG
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
LOG
0 - 7
WOL
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
IPS
1 - 1
LOG
45%
24%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 1
LOG
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |