Canvey Island vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 2
WEA
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
LOW
2 - 1
CAN
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 2
BUR
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
KIN
3 - 1
CAN
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAN
4 - 0
CRA
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
LEI
2 - 2
LEW
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
LEW
2 - 2
EAS
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 1
LEW
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 1
LEW
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BIL
0 - 1
LEW
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |