Canvey Island vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
RED
1 - 1
CAN
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
YEL
2 - 3
CAN
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 0
ENF
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MAL
0 - 3
CAN
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
YEL
0 - 2
CAN
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
HEY
3 - 2
HOR
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
HOR
0 - 1
BIL
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
RAM
3 - 2
HOR
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
HOR
0 - 1
HAR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
ASH
3 - 0
HOR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |