Canterbury United vs Western AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
5 - 1
WEL
53%
23%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 2
TEA
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 0
CAN
68%
18%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
HAW
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
HAW
1 - 1
CAN
33%
24%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Western AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WAF
1 - 2
SUF
30%
21%
49%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NOM
4 - 0
WAF
93%
6%
2%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
WAF
1 - 6
CAS
5%
13%
82%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WAF
1 - 5
FER
5%
11%
84%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NSF
3 - 1
WAF
93%
6%
2%
|
6 | 30 | 24 | 0 |