Caniçal vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+681%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAN
11%
18%
71%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 0
CAM
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
1MA
0 - 5
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PON
0 - 1
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 0
POR
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 4
PON
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AND
0 - 0
MAC
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
BAR
82%
13%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |