Candelaria vs Xermade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Candelaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
CAN
34%
23%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
ALF
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
GUI
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
5 - 1
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAN
5 - 0
FER
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Xermade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
XER
1 - 0
GUI
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
XER
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
XER
1 - 0
FER
57%
21%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
COS
0 - 2
XER
29%
24%
48%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
XER
0 - 1
IBE
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |