Canals vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
CAN
49%
26%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
CAN
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
ONT
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 3
CUL
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
REC
1 - 0
CAN
26%
24%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PEG
3 - 2
ONT
78%
15%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CUL
1 - 1
PEG
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
PEG
2 - 1
REC
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PEG
2 - 1
CDT
38%
26%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEG
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |