Canals vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 1
CAN
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
CDT
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAN
39%
25%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 0
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
REC
0 - 1
CAN
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PEG
3 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LLO
2 - 2
PEG
66%
21%
14%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 2
CAS
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PEG
2 - 2
RAC
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 2
PEG
51%
24%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |