Campinense vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 2
MIR
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 0
CAM
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
CAM
71%
20%
9%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
BAH
16%
23%
60%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
6 - 1
LUC
81%
14%
6%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
LUC
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 1
SOU
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 3
CAM
16%
22%
61%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
LUC
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |