Copa do Nordeste . Final
Global 4-1
Campinense vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 2
CAM
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
FOR
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAM
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
CAM
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 0
SPO
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 2
CAM
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
ASA
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 1
ASA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ASA
3 - 3
CEA
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 2
ASA
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |