Cambridge City vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 0
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 1
SWI
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 1
CAM
21%
26%
54%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 0
WEY
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
6 - 1
BED
59%
21%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
HEM
42%
24%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BED
2 - 2
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 4
AFT
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CIR
0 - 1
BAS
33%
24%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |