Cambridge City vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CIR
0 - 2
CAM
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 1
ARL
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
OXF
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BED
1 - 2
CAM
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
CAM
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 3
SWI
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 3
CIR
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
AFT
2 - 0
BAS
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WEY
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |