Camboriú FC vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camboriú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
CAM
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
1 - 1
CAM
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
INT
2 - 0
CAM
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
INT
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
JUV
18%
21%
61%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
INT
2 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
TUB
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 4
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |