Camarena vs Las Colonias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camarena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SGA
2 - 3
CAM
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 1
ALC
62%
18%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
POL
5 - 2
CAM
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SCR
4 - 2
CAM
37%
22%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ANA
4 - 2
CAM
63%
19%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Las Colonias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
COL
0 - 2
ANA
18%
20%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MEN
3 - 0
COL
72%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
ORO
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
COL
5 - 0
TOR
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SCR
2 - 1
COL
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |