Camarena vs Guadamur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
20.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camarena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CTI
3 - 1
CAM
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
4 - 2
MOC
16%
19%
66%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REC
3 - 1
CAM
65%
18%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TAL
3 - 0
CAM
64%
19%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
FUE
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guadamur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
FUE
14%
18%
69%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 1
GUA
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 5
MOR
22%
21%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
FDE
21%
20%
60%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |