Calvina vs Concesio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SZE
0 - 4
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 4
CAL
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
4 - 4
ADR
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 2
CAL
18%
21%
62%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAL
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Concesio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 2
CON
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
CAL
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BED
0 - 0
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
GOV
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
DAK
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |