Calvi Noale vs Fontanafredda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvi Noale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
CNO
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CNO
2 - 2
LEV
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
CNO
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CNO
0 - 0
TAM
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CNO
0 - 2
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fontanafredda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FON
1 - 2
TAM
30%
23%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
4 - 3
FON
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FON
2 - 2
ABA
33%
24%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LIV
3 - 1
FON
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FON
0 - 1
VNZ
13%
20%
68%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |