Calpe vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
UDC
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
LLO
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 3
CAL
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
CTS
65%
19%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
CAL
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CTS
3 - 1
PEG
42%
26%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PEG
1 - 0
BEN
9%
19%
72%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LAL
3 - 1
PEG
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PEG
0 - 2
TAV
14%
21%
65%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DEN
0 - 0
PEG
76%
16%
7%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |