Calpe vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 3
CAL
30%
26%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 0
CAL
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
JAV
1 - 2
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 3
ONT
14%
19%
68%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
TAV
2 - 1
CAL
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
DEN
3 - 0
CTS
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 0
DEN
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
LOL
2 - 4
DEN
44%
25%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
DEN
0 - 1
GAN
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DEN
4 - 1
RAC
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |