Calpe vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
CAL
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
LAL
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TAV
3 - 1
CAL
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
DEN
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 5
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CTS
1 - 1
OLI
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CTS
2 - 0
LLO
53%
24%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
CTS
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CTS
0 - 2
LAL
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TAV
3 - 1
CTS
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |