Calig vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
MAT
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
CAL
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
MOR
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 0
ORP
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 3
CAL
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 1
VIL
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
VIL
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
CHE
26%
22%
53%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
JAN
1 - 0
VIL
46%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |