Calig vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
ATZ
0 - 2
CAL
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 0
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 2
CAL
58%
20%
22%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
4 - 1
CLU
51%
22%
27%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 1
CLU
34%
20%
46%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 2
TIR
53%
21%
26%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 4
VAL
11%
17%
72%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CIN
48%
22%
30%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIN
3 - 5
CHE
22%
22%
56%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |