Calera vs Recas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
T66
2 - 1
CAL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
ECG
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 2
CAL
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
4 - 2
CTI
65%
20%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 4
CAL
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
REC
5 - 0
MEN
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
REC
2 - 1
T66
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDE
5 - 1
REC
46%
23%
30%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
REC
2 - 1
ECG
49%
22%
30%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 0
REC
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |