Calera vs Atletico Navahermosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARG
6 - 1
CAL
76%
16%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
TAL
36%
24%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FUE
2 - 1
CAL
39%
26%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
NOB
17%
21%
61%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 1
PUE
49%
23%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Navahermosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ANA
3 - 1
PUE
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SCU
2 - 0
ANA
79%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ANA
0 - 1
MOR
65%
18%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ANA
0 - 1
ATA
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TOR
5 - 0
ANA
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |