Calella vs Cirera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SPG
2 - 0
CAL
40%
22%
39%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
LLA
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MOL
1 - 0
CAL
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
PSE
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
PDA
74%
15%
12%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Cirera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CIR
6 - 0
ROC
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LLO
2 - 1
CIR
50%
24%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CIR
2 - 1
MAT
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CIR
3 - 0
PDB
67%
19%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
POM
2 - 5
CIR
20%
21%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |