Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
POI
43%
23%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
NOR
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 2
CAL
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
CON
51%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
POI
0 - 0
DEF
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
DEF
4 - 0
POL
57%
21%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |