Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 3
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
POI
2 - 1
CAL
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
STA
79%
14%
8%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAL
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 2
DEF
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
CEN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
STA
1 - 5
DEF
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +1 |